Mr. Sensitive

December 31, 2011

FSX 2011 Year-In-Review

Filed under: Uncategorized — lbej @ 12:53

The good news is that the Family Stock Index added 10.7% over the last three months of 2011.  The bad news is that the FSX was down 17% in the first nine months.  At a 2011 closing level of 11,077, the FSX traded down 7.6% from its 2010 close at 11,991, and while we are well above the October low of 9,220, we are nowhere near the March peak of 13,698.  What does it mean for 2012?  I’m on record as saying 2012 is going to be a garbage year from a macro standpoint: there will be presidential elections in the U.S. and France and a generational leadership transition in China, so the powers will have no interest in muddying the trade and monetary policy waters any further than said waters will already be muddied by all the politicians crapping in them.  The markets will move only to the extent that exogenous factors move them, meaning the extent to which shit happens.  Where governments can influence economies and markets, they will hold them steady, so the only directional shifts are likely to come from unpredictable events.  Therefore, I predict that the S&P 500, which began 2011 at 1257.64 and ended at 1257.60, will end 2012 at 1257.56.  I further predict that my prediction will be wrong for unforeseeable reasons.  Separately, I predict that the Family Stock Index will close at 12,074 at the end of 2012, because those are the numbers my fingers went to just now, as though my keyboard was, in fact, a Ouija board.  You’re welcome for the future.

What everyone wants to know is how he or she did during the year, and I can tell you that the answer is probably not well.  Only 9 of our 24 stocks rose during 2011, and of those 9, only five rose decisively, and one of those doesn’t count because Justin cheated at the end.  I’m putting these into groups based on stars and stuff.

INVINCIBILITY STAR

 

1.  Reagan (REGN) Opening price – $32.83; Closing price – $55.43; percentage change +68.8%.

SUPERSTAR

2.  Lulu (LULU) Opening price $34.21; Closing price $46.66; percentage change +36.4%.

3.  Nicole B. (NI) Opening price $17.62; Closing price $23.81; percentage change +35.1%.

4.  Future Lee (MSTR) Opening price $85.47; Closing price $108.32; percentage change +26.7%.

WHATEVER JUSTIN

5.  Justin (WOLF) Opening price $2.61; Closing price $2.90; percentage change +11.1%.

DIMLY BRIGHT

6.  Marisa (MOLX) Opening price $22.72; Closing price $23.86; percentage change +5.0%.

7.  Jenny (LEN) Opening price $18.75; Closing price $19.65; percentage change +4.8%.

8.  Dustin (DST) Opening price $44.35; Closing price $45.52; percentage change +2.6%.

9.  Charlotte (ICE) Opening price $119.15; Closing price $120.55; percentage change +1.2%.

GOOD JOB NOT EVEN TRYING LOSER

10.  Brinky (BCO) Opening price $26.88; Closing price $26.88; unch.

BRIGHTLY DIM

11.  Lisa (LSI) Opening price $5.99; Closing price $5.95; percentage change -0.7%.

12.  Lucas (LEI) Opening price $2.33; Closing price $2.31; percentage change -0.9%.

13.  Nicole L. (COL) Opening price $58.26; Closing price $55.37; percentage change -5.0%.

14.  Marcus (MCS) Opening price $13.27; Closing price $12.61; percentage change -5.0%.

DIMLY DIM

15.  Winston (HWD) Opening price $11.70; Closing price $10.65; percentage change -9.0%.

16.  Katie (CATY) Opening price $16.70; Closing price $14.93; percentage change -10.6%.

17.  Icarus (FLOW) Opening price $4.09; Closing price $3.50; percentage change -14.4%.

18.  Mario the Elder (PBY) Opening price $13.43; Closing price $11.00; percentage change -18.1%.

DOUBLE DIM

19.  Mario the Younger (SUP) Opening price $21.22; Closing price $16.54; percentage change -22.1%.

20.  Zondro (ZQK) Opening price $5.07; Closing price $3.61; percentage change -28.8%.

21.  Wilson (WILC) Opening price $6.48; Closing price $4.57; percentage change -29.4%.

22.  Ruby (RBY) Opening price $5.71; Closing price $3.78; percentage change -33.8%.

STARHAWK

23.  Legacy Lee (LEE) Opening price $2.46; Closing price $0.70; percentage change -71.3%.

BLACK HOLE SUN

 

24.  Zero (FRZ) Opening price $2.75; Closing price $0.15; percentage change -94.5%.

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